Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the third consecutive trading day.The case of 2024 New Quality Productivity Empowering High Quality Development was released. On December 10th, 2024 China Brand Forum New Quality Productivity Empowering High Quality Development Forum was held in Zhengzhou. At the meeting, the case of high-quality development of new quality productivity in 2024 was released, and 20 enterprises including China Railway Equipment, BYD, Yutong Group, Chihiro Location and Ubisoft Technology were selected. (Dahe Finance Cube)
"Nature" announced the top ten figures in 2024, and two China scientists were selected. On the 9th, the website of the British magazine "Nature" released the list of the top ten figures promoting scientific development in 2024. Among them, two China scientists were selected. The list was compiled by the editors of Nature magazine to record the important scientific progress, events and some key figures this year. Among them, two China researchers who were selected as the top ten were Xu Huji, a rheumatologist from the PLA Naval Medical University, and Li Chunlai, deputy chief designer of the Chang 'e VI mission and a researcher at the National Astronomical Observatory of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Dr. Xu Huji bravely tried to treat autoimmune diseases with CAR-T cell therapy, which brought hope for the mass production of CAR-T cell therapy. Li Chunlai was a key figure in determining the landing site of Chang 'e-6 probe on the moon, and was also one of the first scientists to analyze the returned samples.Australia's policy interest rate is 4.35%, expected to be 4.35%, and the previous value is 4.35%.India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.08% higher at 81,575.96 points. Among the constituent stocks, MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA opened 1.15% higher, ADANI PORTS rose 1%, and Indian State Grid rose 0.88%; In terms of decline, Maruti Suzuki opened 0.46% lower, Reliance Industries fell 0.4%, and TITAN fell 0.39%.
Zhejiang took the lead in exploring the EOD model system. Recently, the Provincial Department of Ecology and Environment, the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, the Zhejiang Branch of CDB and the Zhejiang Branch of Agricultural Development Bank jointly issued the Guidelines for the Storage of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), the Management Regulations of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), and the Implementation Evaluation Rules of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial) EOD model is an innovation of market-oriented eco-environmental governance model, which aims to promote the effective integration, value-added feedback and overall promotion of eco-environmental governance with strong public welfare and related industries with good returns, and realize the integrated development of regional eco-environmental governance and industries. At present, 18 EOD projects in the province have been included in the financial support project library of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and two batches of 18 provincial pilot EOD projects have been announced. (released by Zhejiang)Israel once again launched an attack on Damascus and its surrounding areas in Syria. On the 10th local time, it was learned from the Syrian media that Israel once again launched an attack on Damascus, the capital of Syria, and its surrounding areas. At present, the Israeli side has no response to this. (CCTV)Reserve Bank of Australia: It will take some time for inflation to continue to reach its target. The job market is still tight. The economic situation has affected the family's discretionary expenditure. The gap between total demand and supply continues to narrow, and output growth is weak.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13